Analysis of temperature and precipitation series of Hirfanli Dam Basin by Mann Kendall, Spearman’s Rho and Innovative Trend Analysis
Yazarlar (1)
Doç. Dr. Utku ZEYBEKOĞLU Sinop Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Makale Türü Açık Erişim Özgün Makale (SCOPUS dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale)
Dergi Adı Turkish Journal of Engineering
Dergi ISSN 2587-1366 Dergi Bilgileri (2024)
Makale Dili İngilizce Basım Tarihi 01-2024
Cilt / Sayı / Sayfa 8 / 1 / 11–19 DOI 10.31127/tuje.1177522
Makale Linki https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/tuje/issue/79857/1177522
UAK Araştırma Alanları
Mühendislik
Özet
In this study long-term trend analysis of precipitation and temperature series are determined in the Hirfanli dam basin of Turkey. Data is obtained from the Turkish State Meteorological Service for the period of 1968 to 2017 for Gemerek, Kayseri, Kirsehir, Nevsehir, Sivas and Zara. Mann-Kendall, Spearman's Rho and Innovative Trend Analysis are used for trend analysis with 95% confidence levels. According to the results of the temperature series upward trend were determined. The results of all methods are similar but increasing significant trends were determined by Mann Kendall and Spearman's Rho except Zara. According to the precipitation series results, with decreasing trends in Gemerek, Kirsehir, Nevsehir and Zara, increasing trends were determined in Kayseri and Sivas. The results of Mann Kendall and Spearman's Rho methods show parallelism with each other. Contrary to other methods, Innovative Trend Analysis determined a decreasing trend in Kayseri. As a result of the analysis, the trends in the precipitation series are not significant at the 95% confidence level. In addition to statistical analyzes, evaluations were made in terms of integrated disaster management for drought disaster in the basin with arid climate characteristics.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Disaster management | Precipitation | Temperature | Trend analysis