Why people vote for thin-centred ideology parties? A multi-level multi-country test of individual and aggregate level predictors
Yazarlar (4)
Hüseyin Çakal
Keele University, İngiltere
Doç. Dr. Yasin ALTINIŞIK Sinop Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Ömer Gökçekuş
Seton Hall University, Amerika Birleşik Devletleri
Öğr. Gör. Ertuğrul Gazi Eraslan Keele University, İngiltere
Makale Türü Açık Erişim Özgün Makale (SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale)
Dergi Adı Plos One (Q1)
Dergi ISSN 1932-6203 Dergi Bilgileri (2022)
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler SCI-Expanded
Makale Dili İngilizce Basım Tarihi 03-2022
Kabul Tarihi – Yayınlanma Tarihi 03-03-2022
Cilt / Sayı / Sayfa 17 / 3 / 1–19 DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0264421
Makale Linki https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0264421
UAK Araştırma Alanları
İstatistiksel Analiz Uygulamalı İstatistik Teorik İstatistik
Özet
The present research investigates the individual and aggregate level determinants of support for thin-centred ideology parties across 23 European countries. Employing a multilevel modelling approach, we analysed European Social Survey data round 7 2014 (N = 44000). Our findings show that stronger identification with one's country and confidence in one's ability to influence the politics positively but perceiving the system as satisfactory and responsive; trusting the institutions and people, and having positive attitudes toward minorities, i.e., immigrants and refugees, negatively predict support for populist and single issue parties. The level of human development and perceptions of corruption at the country level moderate these effects. Thus, we provide the first evidence that the populist surge is triggered by populist actors' capacity to simultaneously invoke vertical, "ordinary" people against "the elites", and horizontal, "us" against "threatening aliens", categories of people as well as the sovereignty of majority over minorities. These categories and underlying social psychological processes of confidence, trust, and threats are moderated by the general level of human development and corruption perceptions in a country. It is, therefore, likely that voting for populist parties will increase as the liberally democratic countries continue to prosper and offer better opportunities for human development. Stronger emphasis on safeguarding the integrity of the economic and democratic institutions, as our findings imply, and preserving their ethical and honest, i.e., un-corrupt, nature can keep this surge under check.
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